Home
Account Login
Not Logged In
☰
  • Trade Now
  • About Us
    • Why Choose Us
    • About Kotak Securities
    • About Kotak Group
    • Service
    • Media
    • Careers
    • Current Openings
  • Product
    • Asset Classes
      • Tax Free Bonds
      • Gold ETF
      • Stock Lending & Borrowing (SLBM)
    • Trading Tools
      • Website
      • KEAT PRO X
      • Kotak Stock Trader
      • Call and Trade
    • Account Types
      • Demat Account
      • Private Client Group (PCG)
      • 2 in 1 Account
      • Trinity Account
      • NRI Account
      • Foreign Investors (QFI)
    • Value Added Features
      • Margin Intraday Square off (MIS)
      • Stock Basket (smallcase)
      • Margin Trading Facility
      • Super Multiple
      • BNST
      • Portfolio Tracker
      • Capital gain report
      • Use Stocks as Margin
      • Knowledge Bank
      • Refer and Earn
  • Pricing
  • Research
    • Live Research Calls
      • Fundamental Call
      • Technical Call
      • Derivatives Call
      • SIP Call
      • Top Monthly Picks
      • Pick of the Week
    • Kotak Research Centre
    • Latest Research Reports
      • Stock Recommendations
      • Research webinars
    • Sample Research Reports
  • Help
    • Contact Us
    • Get Your Account Statements
    • Open an account
    • Demos
    • Forms
  • More
    • Startup Engagement
    • Kotak University
    • Franchisee
Home » Articles » Why Rbis Surprising Decision To Not Hike Rates Makes Sense

Articles

2014661830565536055253
How it helps?
  • Zero maintenance charges
  • Zero fees for demat account opening
  • Volume based brokerage
Reach Us
Learn the art of Investing

Read More >


  • Why RBI’s surprising decision to not hike rates makes sense

    Publish Date: October 09, 2018

    The Reserve Bank of India’s decision last week to not hike the lending rates has divided opinion.

    While some have criticized the central bank for being passive, economists on the other side of the fence believe it to be a well thought-out decision.

    Why was there a demand for a hike in lending rates?

    The answer: to prop up the falling rupee.

    The rupee has been trading at near-lows against the US dollar in the last two months or so. It has shed 14% of its value since the beginning of the year.

    Monday (October 8) marked the first time the rupee ended the day below the 74-mark against the greenback.

    Effects of the rupee rout

    India’s oil import bill is likely to balloon due to soaring global crude prices. It will get even worse because a weakening rupee will inflate the import bill even further. Some media reports suggest that India would have to pay an extra $26 billion to meet its oil requirements now.

    Related read: Fuel prices are on fire

    Secondly, foreign investors are pulling out their investments from India. The strong capital outflow is another reason for the rupee to go soft. In fact, overseas investors have pulled out more than $3 billion from the debt markets alone this year.

    But, critics argue, if the RBI had hiked rates in the October 4 meeting, India’s domestic debt would remain attractive for foreign investors.

    Thirdly, the US economy is doing well — it grew 4.1% in the second quarter. As a result, the dollar has gained strength, making it more attractive than rupee now.

    Fourthly, India’s current account deficit is expected to widen this year. Last year, the deficit was 1.9%, but Nomura Research believes that it would stretch to 2.8% this year. The expanding CAD would put further pressure on the rupee.

    Related read: What a high current account deficit means to investors

    These are some of the reasons why some economists expected the RBI to hike rates. They felt that hiking lending rates could make the debt market attractive for foreign investors. Therefore, it would increase the demand for and the value of the Indian rupee.

    The other side of the argument

    We, at Kotak Securities, believe that a rate hike of 25 basis points would be a temporary solution. The rupee would gain strength for a brief while before capitulating to the triple trouble of high oil prices, trade wars and widening current account deficit again.

    In fact, we are of the opinion that there is some more weakness left in the rupee before things get better.

    We also think that the state elections in five states — Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Telangana and Mizoram — in November and December would fuel further uncertainties in the economy. The confusion in the economy would indirectly hurt the rupee too. Therefore, the rate hike would only be a short-term fix.

    If you remember, the rupee had weakened in 2013 as well. That time, India’s central bank had raised the lending rates, but it proved futile in the long run. Foreign investors weren’t lured either. Basically, the rupee had to run the downhill course before it rebounded. The lesson here is that no artificial prop-up would help revive the rupee.

    To sum up, oil prices need to climb down and global uncertainties need to dissipate for the rupee to gather its strength.

    For the moment, the RBI is doing the right thing by adopting a wait-and-watch policy.

    We feel the RBI will only jump in under two scenarios: first, if the rupee situation worsens further and two, if the weakness in the rupee riles the inflation numbers. But fortunately, inflation is unlikely to shoot up in the next two-three quarters, according to RBI estimates.

    Lastly, a falling rupee has spurred higher trading volumes — its up by almost 60%. High trading volumes suggests there is a strong buyer interest.

    The interest is high because people expect the rupee to fall even further. This gives them a chance to make a quick profit by selling the currency in the next few days or weeks. You can click here to use this opportunity as well.

    To learn more about trading in currency derivatives, click here.

    Also read

    • Our stock tips and recommendation
    • Mphasis buyback: here’s what you need to know
    • How domino effect works in markets
    • Our brokerage options
    • Will TCS outperform Infosys in Q2?

    Click here to go back


    Disclaimer: Investments in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Our research should not be considered as an advertisement or advice, professional or otherwise. The investor is requested to take into consideration all the risk factors including their financial condition, suitability to risk return profile and the like and take professional advice before investing. By referring to any particular sector, Kotak Securities Limited does not provide any promise or assurance of favourable view for a particular industry or sector or business group in any manner. The investor is requested to take into consideration all the risk factors including their financial condition, suitability to risk return profile and take professional advice before investing. Such representations are not indicative of future results.









Stock Market Sectors :        A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | L | M | N | O | P | R | S | T | V | W |

About Us

  • • Branch Locator
  • • About Kotak Securities
  • • Awards and Accolades
  • • About Kotak Group
  • • Technology
  • • Strong Research
  • • Customer Support Chat
  • • Brokerage Charges

Asset Classes

  • • Equity Trading
  • • Derivative Trading
  • • Mutual Fund Investment
  • • IPO
  • • Gold Funds
  • • Currency Derivatives
  • • Fixed Deposits & Tax Free Bonds
  • • Debentures

Derivatives Market

  • • Most Active Contracts
  • • Gainers
  • • Losers
  • • Top Volume Traded
  • • Top Value Traded
  • • Most Active Put
  • • Most Active Call
  • • Open Interest
  • • Highest in Premium
  • • Put Call Ratio

Investment Knowledge Bank

  • • Share Market Basics
  • • What is Demat Account
  • • What are Derivatives?
  • • What are Futures?
  • • What are Options?
  • • What are Mutual Funds?
  • • Basics of Financial Planning
  • • Calculators
  • • Videos
  • • Meaningful Minutes

Trading Tools & Research Reports

  • • KEAT PRO X
  • • Kotak Stock Trader APP
  • • Fastlane
  • • Xtralite
  • • Dealer assisted trading
  • • Call and Trade
  • • Investors Research
  • • Trader Research
  • • Mutual Fund Research
  • • Fundamental Analysis Reports
  • • Technical Analysis Reports
  • • Derivative Reports
  • • Currency Derivative Reports

Account Types & Value Added Services

  • • Demat Account
  • • 2 in 1 Account
  • • Trinity Account (3-in-1 Account)
  • • Linked Account
  • • NRI Account
  • • PMS
  • • Margin Trading
  • • BNST
  • • TradeSmart Store
  • • SMS Alerts
  • • AMO

Equity Market

  • • Share Market Live
  • • Gainer
  • • Loser
  • • Most Active Stocks
  • • Volume Buzzer
  • • 52Wk High
  • • 52Wk Low
  • • All Market News
  • • Bullion News
  • • Economy General
  • • Corporate Actions
  • • Other News
CUSTOMER CARE Chat with us
77389 88888WhatsApp Chat
(Add city STD code while calling from Mobile)

TIME:
Customer Service:- Mon to Fri – 9.00 AM TO 6.00 PM
Call and Trade:- Mon to Fri – 8.30 AM TO 5.30 PM

For Call & Trade, dial 080 4725 3255
Write to us at service.securities@kotak.com for Trading Account-related queries and ks.demat@kotak.com for Demat Account-related queries

Connect with us

No need to issue cheques by investors while subscribing to IPO. Just write the bank account number and sign in the application form to authorise your bank to make payment in case of allotment. No worries for refund as the money remains in investor's account.

KYC is one time exercise while dealing in securities markets - once KYC is done through a SEBI registered intermediary (broker, DP, Mutual Fund etc.), you need not undergo the same process again when you approach another intermediary. Attention Investors Prevent Unauthorized Transactions in your demat / trading account --> Update your Mobile Number/ email Id with your stock broker / Depository Participant. Receive information of your transactions directly from Exchanges on your mobile / email at the end of day and alerts on your registered mobile for all debits and other important transactions in your demat account directly from NSDL/ CDSL on the same day." - Issued in the interest of investors. Circular No.: NSDL/POLICY/2014/0094, NSE/INSP/27436, BSE - 20140901-21

Kindly note that as per NSE circulars nos: NSE/INVG/36333 dated November 17, 2017, NSE/INVG/37765 dated May 15.2018 and BSE circular nos: 20171117-18 dated November 17, 2017, 20180515-39 dated May 15.2018, trading in securities in which unsolicited messages are being circulated is restricted. The list of such stocks are available on the website of NSE & BSE. In case of any queries, request you to kindly get in touch with Customer Service on 18002099191/9292

Kotak securities Ltd. having composite licence no.CA0268 is a Corporate Agent of Kotak Mahindra Life Insurance Company Limited and Kotak Mahindra General Insurance Company Limited. We have taken reasonable measures to protect security and confidentiality of the Customer information.

The Stock Exchange, Mumbai is not in any manner answerable, responsible or liable to any person or persons for any acts of omission or commission, errors, mistakes and/or violation, actual or perceived, by us or our partners, agents, associates etc., of any of the Rules, Regulations, Bye-laws of the Stock Exchange, Mumbai, SEBI Act or any other laws in force from time to time.
The Stock Exchange, Mumbai is not answerable, responsible or liable for any information on this Website or for any services rendered by our employees, our servants, and us.

Please do not share your online trading password with anyone as this could weaken the security of your account and lead to unauthorized trades or losses. This cautionary note is as per Exchange circular dated 15th May, 2020.

Note: NSDL and CDSL have mapped Unique Client Codes (UCC) to demat accounts based on PAN, refer NSDL and CDSL circulars. Format for linking/delinking the UCC: NSDL: link | CDSL: link.

Clients are required to keep all their account related information up-to-date including details like email id, mobile number, address, bank details, demat details, income details etc. which will help the client to timely receive any information and to avail the various facilities relating to the Trading and Demat account. To update the details, client may get in touch with our designated customer service desk or approach the branch for assistance.

Investor Awareness regarding the revised guidelines on margin collection:-
Attention Investors :

1. Stock Brokers can accept securities as margin from clients only by way of pledge in the depository system w.e.f. September 1, 2020.
2. Update your mobile number & email Id with your stock broker/depository participant and receive OTP directly from depository on your email id and/or mobile number to create pledge.
3. Pay 20% upfront margin of the transaction value to trade in cash market segment.
4. Investors may please refer to the Exchange's Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) issued vide circular reference NSE/INSP/45191 dated July 31, 2020, notice no. 20200731-7 dated July 31, 2020 and NSE/INSP/45534 dated August 31, 2020, notice no. 20200831-45 dated August 31, 2020 and other guidelines issued from time to time in this regard.
5. Check your Securities /MF/ Bonds in the consolidated account statement issued by NSDL/CDSL every month.
.......... Issued in the interest of Investors

Clients are hereby cautioned not to rely on unsolicited stock tips / investment advice circulated through bulk SMS, websites and social media platforms. Kindly exercise appropriate due diligence before dealing in the securities market.

Requirement of obtaining consent through OTP has been waived for off market transfer reason code “Implementation of Government / Regulatory Direction / Orders” Consent through OTP would continue to be required for all other reasons for any off-market transfers. Refer NSDL circular.

Covid-19 impact to clients:-
1. Applicable to clients on whose email id contract notes and other statements get bounced or who have opted for Physical contract notes/ other statements or Digital and Physical contract notes/ other statements :Due to the nationwide lockdown, we are unable send physical contract notes and other statements. To view them, log into www.kotaksecurities.com
2. Kindly update your email id with us to receive contract notes/various statements electronically to avoid any further inconvenience.
3. We are unable to issue the running account settlement payouts through cheque due to the lockdown. We request you to update your Bank account details to facilitate direct transfer to your linked bank account. You may approach our designated customer service desk or your branch to know the Bank details updation procedure.
4. Exchange advisory: Investors are advised to exercise caution while taking investment decisions in these unpredictable times. Clients are also encouraged to keep track of the underlying physical as well as international commodity markets. Clients are advised to undertake transactions after understanding the nature of the contractual relationship into which they are entering and the extent of its exposure to risk. Clients are further advised to follow sound risk management practices and not to be carried away by unfounded rumors, tips etc.

Filling complaints on SCORES- Easy & Quick
a. Register on SCORES portal  |  b. Mandatory details for filling complaints on SCORES  i. Name, PAN, Address, Mobile Number, E-mail ID  |  c. Benefits:  i. Effective Communication  ii. Speedy redressal of the grievances

Charges for Other Services  |  Disclaimer  |  Sitemap  |  Privacy & Security  |  256 Bit Encryption  |  BSE  |  NSE  |  MSE  |  MCX  |  SEBI  |  SCORES  |  Anti Money Laundering Measures  |  Important Policies  |  Dos & Donts  |  National Pension System  |  List of GST Registration Number

© 2005 Kotak Securities Limited.

Registered Office: 27 BKC, C 27, G Block, Bandra Kurla Complex, Bandra (E), Mumbai 400051. Telephone No.: +22 43360000, Fax No.: +22 67132430.
Correspondence Address: Infinity IT Park, Bldg. No 21, Opp. Film City Road, A K Vaidya Marg, Malad (East), Mumbai 400097. Telephone No: 42856825.

CIN: U99999MH1994PLC134051. SEBI Registration No: INZ000200137(Member of NSE, BSE, MSE, MCX & NCDEX), AMFI ARN 0164, PMS INP000000258 and Research Analyst INH000000586.

NSDL/CDSL: IN-DP-NSDL-23-97

New To share Market?

Open Your Account Today!

New Customer?

Hurry! Sign up for Free Intraday Trading now

BROKERAGE FREE

on intraday trades

AVAIL THE OFFER NOW

NO ACCOUNT OPENING CHARGES



Submit

Please Note

That by submitting the above mentioned details, you are authorising Kotak Securities & its sub-brokers & agents to call you and send promotional communication even though you may be registered under DNC.

Open An Account