Home
Account Login
Not Logged In
☰
  • Trade Now
  • About Us
    • Why Choose Us
    • About Kotak Securities
    • About Kotak Group
    • Service
    • Media
    • Careers
    • Current Openings
  • Product
    • Asset Classes
      • Tax Free Bonds
      • Gold ETF
      • Stock Lending & Borrowing (SLBM)
    • Trading Tools
      • Website
      • KEAT PRO X
      • Kotak Stock Trader
      • Call and Trade
    • Account Types
      • Demat Account
      • Private Client Group (PCG)
      • 2 in 1 Account
      • Trinity Account
      • NRI Account
      • Foreign Investors (QFI)
    • Value Added Features
      • Margin Intraday Square off (MIS)
      • Stock Basket (smallcase)
      • Margin Trading Facility
      • Super Multiple
      • BNST
      • Portfolio Tracker
      • Capital gain report
      • Use Stocks as Margin
      • Knowledge Bank
      • Refer and Earn
  • Pricing
  • Research
    • Live Research Calls
      • Fundamental Call
      • Technical Call
      • Derivatives Call
      • SIP Call
      • Top Monthly Picks
      • Pick of the Week
    • Kotak Research Centre
    • Latest Research Reports
      • Stock Recommendations
      • Research webinars
    • Sample Research Reports
  • Help
    • Contact Us
    • Get Your Account Statements
    • Open an account
    • Demos
    • Forms
  • More
    • Startup Engagement
    • Kotak University
    • Franchisee
Home » Articles » Here Why You Should Keep Your Eyes Glued To The Nifty This Week

Articles

2014661830565536055253
How it helps?
  • Zero maintenance charges
  • Zero fees for demat account opening
  • Volume based brokerage
Reach Us
Learn the art of Investing

Read More >


  • Here’s why you should keep your eyes glued to the Nifty this week

    Publish Date: October 09, 2018

    This week will be a litmus test for stock markets, especially Nifty 50.

    The markets will be in better shape if the National Stock Exchange’s benchmark index — Nifty — manages to go beyond 10,800 points in the next few days.

    But if it doesn’t, the Nifty could very well tumble to 9,100 points. That’s because the index could form lower tops and lower bottom patterns, both of which invoke negative sentiments in the market.

    Two reasons why Nifty could bleed

    For starters, it’s never good news if the 200 DMA (daily moving average) is broken at any point of time. Breaking the 200 DMA can lead to the stock market shedding 10%-20%. At the mo-ment, the Nifty is dangerously close to breaking the 200 DMA negatively. (You can read 4 tech-nical indicators to follow to learn more about DMA)

    Though, it must be noted that the Nifty can withstand the pressure for a few days. In March 2018, the Nifty had actually broken the 200 DMA for five days, but it managed to bounce back then. In fact, it recovered more than 1,000 points. However, such situations are not the norm.

    The other cause for worry is that Nifty has already broken the 50 WMA (weighted moving aver-age) placed at 10,708. (WMA is another tool used to forecast how the market will fare)

    If the index remains below the 50 WMA for a couple of weeks, it could adversely impact the 200 WMA.

    The 200 WMA is important because it helps identify the long-term movement of the stock mar-ket. It is supposed to be the dividing line between bull and bear market.

    Related read: What are Bulls and Bears

    This kind of fall from 50 WMA to 200 WMA has already been proven in case of NSE Mid Cap and BSE Small Cap Index. The gap between 50 WMA and 200 WMA of NSE Mid Cap Index was 19% — a chasm that is about to be filled. Similarly, the gap between BSE Small Cap 50 WMA and 200 WMA was 21%. That distance has almost been bridged now.

    It seems the market has gone into an oversold zone a little too quickly. That’s because the Nifty still has strong support at 10,000. The index can recover from sub-10,000 points due to a fairly strong 200 WMA. (The 200 WMA is currently supporting the NSE Mid Cap and BSE Small Cap index)

    However, no-one should be complacent right now, thinking it could support the indices perma-nently.

    Strategy to deal with current market uncertainties

    The current tumult in the markets leads to two questions: what should be the strategy now and where will the market go from here?

    Related read: What is troubling India’s financial markets

    There is no one answer to this. We’ll have to look at different scenarios to understand what strat-egies can be adopted.

    So, let’s have a look at two different scenarios:

    If Nifty is above 10,800

    As we mentioned earlier, if Nifty is above this mark in the coming week, you can heave a sigh of relief, at least for now. In such a scenario, you can hold on to good-quality stocks and purge the weaker ones.

    It’s important to drop the weaker stocks because the Nifty doesn’t seem to have the legs to go and form a new high this time. You can blame the current weakness in the market on soaring crude oil prices, rising US bond yields and currency depreciation.

    As a result, the earnings estimate will come down after the second quarter of FY2019, which will prompt an increase in forward price-to-earnings multiple.

    From the future and options (F&O) perspective, one can look to buy Nifty calls of 10,100 or 10,200. This would suit those who are looking to capture a potential 500-700 points move up from 10,000 levels.

    However, one needs to be very vigilant closer to the 200 DMA and be smart enough to reverse the position. It is better to buy puts of 10,500/10,600 if Nifty is not able to cross the 200 DMA de-cisively.

    Related read: How you can hedge your portfolio

    In short, the memo is clear: you need to track the Nifty closely this week (and hope the NSE in-dex is above 10,800 at the end of the week).

    This is the first article of a four-part series that focuses on how the markets will fare in the next few months.

    Also read

    • Our stock tips and recommendation
    • Mphasis buyback: here’s what you need to know
    • How domino effect works in markets
    • Our brokerage options
    • Will TCS outperform Infosys in Q2?

    Click here to go back


    Disclaimer: Investments in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Our research should not be considered as an advertisement or advice, professional or otherwise. The investor is requested to take into consideration all the risk factors including their financial condition, suitability to risk return profile and the like and take professional advice before investing. By referring to any particular sector, Kotak Securities Limited does not provide any promise or assurance of favourable view for a particular industry or sector or business group in any manner. The investor is requested to take into consideration all the risk factors including their financial condition, suitability to risk return profile and take professional advice before investing. Such representations are not indicative of future results.









Stock Market Sectors :        A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | L | M | N | O | P | R | S | T | V | W |

About Us

  • • Branch Locator
  • • About Kotak Securities
  • • Awards and Accolades
  • • About Kotak Group
  • • Technology
  • • Strong Research
  • • Customer Support Chat
  • • Brokerage Charges

Asset Classes

  • • Equity Trading
  • • Derivative Trading
  • • Mutual Fund Investment
  • • IPO
  • • Gold Funds
  • • Currency Derivatives
  • • Fixed Deposits & Tax Free Bonds
  • • Debentures

Derivatives Market

  • • Most Active Contracts
  • • Gainers
  • • Losers
  • • Top Volume Traded
  • • Top Value Traded
  • • Most Active Put
  • • Most Active Call
  • • Open Interest
  • • Highest in Premium
  • • Put Call Ratio

Investment Knowledge Bank

  • • Share Market Basics
  • • What is Demat Account
  • • What are Derivatives?
  • • What are Futures?
  • • What are Options?
  • • What are Mutual Funds?
  • • Basics of Financial Planning
  • • Calculators
  • • Videos
  • • Meaningful Minutes

Trading Tools & Research Reports

  • • KEAT PRO X
  • • Kotak Stock Trader APP
  • • Fastlane
  • • Xtralite
  • • Dealer assisted trading
  • • Call and Trade
  • • Investors Research
  • • Trader Research
  • • Mutual Fund Research
  • • Fundamental Analysis Reports
  • • Technical Analysis Reports
  • • Derivative Reports
  • • Currency Derivative Reports

Account Types & Value Added Services

  • • Demat Account
  • • 2 in 1 Account
  • • Trinity Account (3-in-1 Account)
  • • Linked Account
  • • NRI Account
  • • PMS
  • • Margin Trading
  • • BNST
  • • TradeSmart Store
  • • SMS Alerts
  • • AMO

Equity Market

  • • Share Market Live
  • • Gainer
  • • Loser
  • • Most Active Stocks
  • • Volume Buzzer
  • • 52Wk High
  • • 52Wk Low
  • • All Market News
  • • Bullion News
  • • Economy General
  • • Corporate Actions
  • • Other News
CUSTOMER CARE Chat with us
77389 88888WhatsApp Chat
(Add city STD code while calling from Mobile)

TIME:
Customer Service:- Mon to Fri – 9.00 AM TO 6.00 PM
Call and Trade:- Mon to Fri – 8.30 AM TO 5.30 PM

For Call & Trade, dial 080 4725 3255
Write to us at service.securities@kotak.com for Trading Account-related queries and ks.demat@kotak.com for Demat Account-related queries

Connect with us

No need to issue cheques by investors while subscribing to IPO. Just write the bank account number and sign in the application form to authorise your bank to make payment in case of allotment. No worries for refund as the money remains in investor's account.

KYC is one time exercise while dealing in securities markets - once KYC is done through a SEBI registered intermediary (broker, DP, Mutual Fund etc.), you need not undergo the same process again when you approach another intermediary. Attention Investors Prevent Unauthorized Transactions in your demat / trading account --> Update your Mobile Number/ email Id with your stock broker / Depository Participant. Receive information of your transactions directly from Exchanges on your mobile / email at the end of day and alerts on your registered mobile for all debits and other important transactions in your demat account directly from NSDL/ CDSL on the same day." - Issued in the interest of investors. Circular No.: NSDL/POLICY/2014/0094, NSE/INSP/27436, BSE - 20140901-21

Kindly note that as per NSE circulars nos: NSE/INVG/36333 dated November 17, 2017, NSE/INVG/37765 dated May 15.2018 and BSE circular nos: 20171117-18 dated November 17, 2017, 20180515-39 dated May 15.2018, trading in securities in which unsolicited messages are being circulated is restricted. The list of such stocks are available on the website of NSE & BSE. In case of any queries, request you to kindly get in touch with Customer Service on 18002099191/9292

Kotak securities Ltd. having composite licence no.CA0268 is a Corporate Agent of Kotak Mahindra Life Insurance Company Limited and Kotak Mahindra General Insurance Company Limited. We have taken reasonable measures to protect security and confidentiality of the Customer information.

The Stock Exchange, Mumbai is not in any manner answerable, responsible or liable to any person or persons for any acts of omission or commission, errors, mistakes and/or violation, actual or perceived, by us or our partners, agents, associates etc., of any of the Rules, Regulations, Bye-laws of the Stock Exchange, Mumbai, SEBI Act or any other laws in force from time to time.
The Stock Exchange, Mumbai is not answerable, responsible or liable for any information on this Website or for any services rendered by our employees, our servants, and us.

Please do not share your online trading password with anyone as this could weaken the security of your account and lead to unauthorized trades or losses. This cautionary note is as per Exchange circular dated 15th May, 2020.

Note: NSDL and CDSL have mapped Unique Client Codes (UCC) to demat accounts based on PAN, refer NSDL and CDSL circulars. Format for linking/delinking the UCC: NSDL: link | CDSL: link.

Clients are required to keep all their account related information up-to-date including details like email id, mobile number, address, bank details, demat details, income details etc. which will help the client to timely receive any information and to avail the various facilities relating to the Trading and Demat account. To update the details, client may get in touch with our designated customer service desk or approach the branch for assistance.

Investor Awareness regarding the revised guidelines on margin collection:-
Attention Investors :

1. Stock Brokers can accept securities as margin from clients only by way of pledge in the depository system w.e.f. September 1, 2020.
2. Update your mobile number & email Id with your stock broker/depository participant and receive OTP directly from depository on your email id and/or mobile number to create pledge.
3. Pay 20% upfront margin of the transaction value to trade in cash market segment.
4. Investors may please refer to the Exchange's Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) issued vide circular reference NSE/INSP/45191 dated July 31, 2020, notice no. 20200731-7 dated July 31, 2020 and NSE/INSP/45534 dated August 31, 2020, notice no. 20200831-45 dated August 31, 2020 and other guidelines issued from time to time in this regard.
5. Check your Securities /MF/ Bonds in the consolidated account statement issued by NSDL/CDSL every month.
.......... Issued in the interest of Investors

Clients are hereby cautioned not to rely on unsolicited stock tips / investment advice circulated through bulk SMS, websites and social media platforms. Kindly exercise appropriate due diligence before dealing in the securities market.

Requirement of obtaining consent through OTP has been waived for off market transfer reason code “Implementation of Government / Regulatory Direction / Orders” Consent through OTP would continue to be required for all other reasons for any off-market transfers. Refer NSDL circular.

Covid-19 impact to clients:-
1. Applicable to clients on whose email id contract notes and other statements get bounced or who have opted for Physical contract notes/ other statements or Digital and Physical contract notes/ other statements :Due to the nationwide lockdown, we are unable send physical contract notes and other statements. To view them, log into www.kotaksecurities.com
2. Kindly update your email id with us to receive contract notes/various statements electronically to avoid any further inconvenience.
3. We are unable to issue the running account settlement payouts through cheque due to the lockdown. We request you to update your Bank account details to facilitate direct transfer to your linked bank account. You may approach our designated customer service desk or your branch to know the Bank details updation procedure.
4. Exchange advisory: Investors are advised to exercise caution while taking investment decisions in these unpredictable times. Clients are also encouraged to keep track of the underlying physical as well as international commodity markets. Clients are advised to undertake transactions after understanding the nature of the contractual relationship into which they are entering and the extent of its exposure to risk. Clients are further advised to follow sound risk management practices and not to be carried away by unfounded rumors, tips etc.

Filling complaints on SCORES- Easy & Quick
a. Register on SCORES portal  |  b. Mandatory details for filling complaints on SCORES  i. Name, PAN, Address, Mobile Number, E-mail ID  |  c. Benefits:  i. Effective Communication  ii. Speedy redressal of the grievances

Charges for Other Services  |  Disclaimer  |  Sitemap  |  Privacy & Security  |  256 Bit Encryption  |  BSE  |  NSE  |  MSE  |  MCX  |  SEBI  |  SCORES  |  Anti Money Laundering Measures  |  Important Policies  |  Dos & Donts  |  National Pension System  |  List of GST Registration Number

© 2005 Kotak Securities Limited.

Registered Office: 27 BKC, C 27, G Block, Bandra Kurla Complex, Bandra (E), Mumbai 400051. Telephone No.: +22 43360000, Fax No.: +22 67132430.
Correspondence Address: Infinity IT Park, Bldg. No 21, Opp. Film City Road, A K Vaidya Marg, Malad (East), Mumbai 400097. Telephone No: 42856825.

CIN: U99999MH1994PLC134051. SEBI Registration No: INZ000200137(Member of NSE, BSE, MSE, MCX & NCDEX), AMFI ARN 0164, PMS INP000000258 and Research Analyst INH000000586.

NSDL/CDSL: IN-DP-NSDL-23-97

New To share Market?

Open Your Account Today!

New Customer?

Hurry! Sign up for Free Intraday Trading now

BROKERAGE FREE

on intraday trades

AVAIL THE OFFER NOW

NO ACCOUNT OPENING CHARGES



Submit

Please Note

That by submitting the above mentioned details, you are authorising Kotak Securities & its sub-brokers & agents to call you and send promotional communication even though you may be registered under DNC.

Open An Account