Key Highlights
The effect of the October factor is described in the October stock market. The impact of the multiple developments that have been affecting financial markets, and hence on stock markets, has had an impact on investor sentiment, which is conditioned over a number of years. The October stock market is recognised as an anomaly, which indicates that stocks are expected to fall in this month's Financial Calendar.
Although the idea of the October stock market is considered to be more of an expectation than a natural phenomenon, according to many statistics, October's unique reputation for market and stock losses is due to a series of events over the decades. These include the years of Panic in 1907, Black Tuesday 1929, Black Thursday 1929, Black Monday 1929 and 1987.
One of the worst single-day drops in stock market history took place on October 19, 1987, infamously referred to as Black Monday. In a single day, the Dow dropped 22.6% and caused massive panic that has left investors feeling wrong about October.
Market research and statistics have also found that October was most likely to face the rage of financing disruption in September. The catalyst events in September or several months prior to this were the 1929 and 1907 crashes, which are known to have triggered panic among investors in October. In either case, domino effects led to the ultimate market crash in October.
Comparably, the September 2001 attacks and the September 2008 subprime mortgage crisis both had more significant single-point drops in the Index than Monday 1987. The decline of 2008 caused the U.S. economy to fall into recession in less than 24 hours, and that wiped out more than a trillion dollars' worth of investments worldwide.
It is concluded that the negative reputation of the financial calendar has a more significant psychological impact on investors, mainly due to the high number of black days in October. In addition to the effects of investor psychology, which continues to dominate investor sentiment, statistical evidence does not support the idea that stocks are trading poorly in October, other than the fact that the idea of the October stock market, known as the October effect, continues to dominate investor sentiment.
Although there are many benefits to limiting the financial crisis and investor panic to just one month of the year, October should no longer be regarded as the month of investor sentiment and fear of the stock market, as opposed to the rest of the year.
The idea that equities often decline in October is known as the "October effect." In view of the numerous market panics that have happened during this period, e.g. 1987's Black Monday, it has been used as an example of a presumed market anomaly.
The sudden and surprising decline in the values of stocks is a stock market collapse. The collapse of the stock market can occur as a result of significant disasters, economic crises and long-term speculative bubbles.
The average duration of the bear market is 289 days or approximately 9.6 months. That is far less than the average duration of a bull market, which has been 965 days or 2.6 years. Every 3.5 years: This is the long-term average frequency between bear markets.
On average, September was the worst month for the stock market in more than a century.
The price of stocks can fall to zero at any time. This means that the stock's value is lost, and the profits of the shareholders are usually worthless. This would mean that the investor loses what they have invested.