For years, India’s financial markets have been shaped by a complex web of regulations, especially when it comes to foreign investment. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), ever cautious, has traditionally imposed limits on how much Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) could own in various asset classes. These restrictions were, depending on different participants, either prudent safeguards or frustrating barriers. But now, with the recent removal of FPI limits, the landscape appears to be shifting.
Foreign Portfolio Investment refers to investments by non-residents in Indian securities – stocks, bonds, and other financial assets. Unlike Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), which typically involves a long-term interest and sometimes management control, FPI is more about financial returns and tends to be more volatile.
Historically, the RBI and the Indian government have imposed caps on FPI holdings. These limits varied by sector and instrument. For example, in government securities, there were aggregate limits (called macroprudential limits) to prevent excessive foreign ownership. The rationale was straightforward – too much foreign money could make markets unstable. If global investors pulled out suddenly, it could trigger sharp corrections, currency volatility, and even threaten financial stability.
The RBI announced a significant change on May 8, 2025. A detailed circular outlined the removal of certain FPI limits, particularly in government securities and some corporate bonds. Below are the details:
India’s economy, while resilient, faces several headwinds. Global growth is slowing, inflation remains a concern, and the fiscal deficit is under constant scrutiny. Attracting foreign capital is, perhaps, one of the more straightforward ways to support the rupee, finance the deficit, and boost market sentiment.
There’s also the matter of global index inclusion. Over the past year, there’s been a lot of talk about Indian government bonds being included in major global bond indices. Such inclusion typically attracts billions in passive investment. Removing FPI limits is a necessary precondition; index providers want to see unfettered access for global investors.
1. Increased capital inflows
With fewer restrictions, India could see a surge in foreign investment. This would deepen the bond and equity markets, improve liquidity, and potentially lower borrowing costs for the government and corporates. In theory, more capital means more efficient price discovery and a more attractive investment environment.
2. Rupee stability
Foreign inflows tend to support the currency. In times of global uncertainty, having a steady stream of foreign investment can act as a buffer against external shocks. The RBI, which has often had to intervene to support the rupee, might welcome this additional support.
3. Index inclusion and global recognition
As mentioned earlier, global index inclusion could be a game-changer. It would not only bring in passive flows but also signal to the world that India’s markets are mature, open, and ready for prime time.
4. Market development
Deeper markets are generally more resilient. With more participants, both domestic and foreign, the risk of sudden, sharp moves is arguably reduced. There’s also the hope that increased foreign participation will encourage better corporate governance and transparency.
1. Volatility
Foreign portfolio flows are, by their nature, fickle. They can be large and fast-moving, and they often respond to global, rather than local, factors. If sentiment turns, the same flows that support the market can reverse just as quickly. This is a classic double-edged sword.
2. Policy dilemma
There’s also the risk of policy overreach. If the RBI is seen as too accommodating to foreign investors, it might face criticism for neglecting domestic interests. Conversely, if it tries to reimpose limits later, it could spook the very investors it’s trying to attract.
3. Sovereignty and security
Some sectors remain sensitive. While the current removal of limits is mostly focused on government and corporate bonds, there’s always the risk that excessive foreign ownership could lead to concerns about economic sovereignty.
4. Crowding out domestic investors
An influx of foreign money can sometimes crowd out domestic investors, especially if it leads to higher asset prices. This is a less discussed but not an insignificant concern.
For India to fully capitalise on this reform, several other pieces need to fall into place.
1. Continued regulatory clarity
Foreign investors value predictability. The RBI and SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India) will need to provide clear, consistent guidance to avoid confusion and ensure a smooth transition.
2. Infrastructure and settlement systems
As foreign participation increases, the need for robust market infrastructure becomes even more critical. Settlement systems, custodial arrangements, and reporting standards will all need to keep pace.
3. Macroprudential oversight
The RBI will need to remain vigilant. Monitoring capital flows, intervening when necessary, and maintaining financial stability will be ongoing challenges.
4. Domestic market development
Finally, it’s important not to lose sight of domestic investors and market development. The ultimate goal should be a balanced, resilient market that serves both domestic and international participants.
The recent removal of FPI limits marks a significant shift in India’s approach to foreign investment. It reflects confidence in the country’s economic fundamentals, a desire to integrate more deeply with global markets, and a willingness to embrace calculated risk.
The potential rewards are substantial, but so are the risks. For now, the move has been broadly welcomed, albeit with the usual caveats and a healthy dose of caution.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is not produced by the desk of the Kotak Securities Research Team, nor is it a report published by the Kotak Securities Research Team. The information presented is compiled from several secondary sources available on the internet and may change over time. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions. Read the full disclaimer here.
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