Suppose you are an entrepreneur, evaluating two potential projects: one involves launching a new line of eco-friendly home products, and the other focuses on expanding your existing retail store. Each project requires a significant investment and prom ises varying cash flows over time. You need a reliable financial metric to determine which venture offers better profitability. That is where the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) comes in handy.
Let’s discuss IRR’s meaning, how it is computed, and more.
The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) measures investment or project profitability. It represents the annualised effective compounded return rate that can be earned on invested capital. It considers the time value of money and the timing of cash flows.
The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) is the discount rate at which an investment’s net present value (NPV) equals zero. Put simply, it is the rate at which the present value of expected future cash flows matches the initial outlay.
For example, consider a project that requires an initial investment of ₹100,000. Over the next five years, it generates cash flows of ₹30,000, ₹25,000, ₹20,000, ₹18,000, and ₹15,000, respectively. To find the IRR of this project, we adjust the discount rate until the NPV of these cash flows equals zero. In this case, the IRR might be calculated to be 12%.
A higher IRR indicates a more attractive investment, as it suggests a higher return on the initial investment.
To compute IRR manually, you can use the following formula:
0 = NPV = ∑ (Ct / (1 + IRR)^t) - C₀
Where:
This equation is solved either via trial-and-error, financial calculators, Excel functions, or computational software.
To compute IRR using Excel, consider the following steps:
Let’s say you have invested ₹1,00,000 in a project and expect to receive ₹30,000, ₹35,000, ₹40,000, and ₹45,000 over the next four years. In Excel, enter these values as -100000, 30000, 35000, 40000, 45000 in cells A1 to A5. Then, type =IRR(A1:A5) in another cell. Press Enter, and Excel will show your IRR, helping you understand your investment’s potential return.
The four main components of IRR are:
NPV helps determine whether an investment is financially viable. It gauges the difference between the present value of cash inflows and outflows over time. NPV is discounted at a specified rate (usually the cost of capital). In the IRR formula context, NPV is set to zero because the IRR is the discount rate that makes the NPV of cash flows equal to zero.
In IRR, cash flow refers to the money moving in and out of a project or investment over time. It includes initial investment (outflow) and returns or earnings (inflows) in future years.
The number of periods in IRR refers to how long the investment lasts. It is usually measured in years, months, or quarters. Simply put, it is the total time over which cash flows (both incoming and outgoing) are considered. To calculate the IRR correctly, the timing of these cash flows must be accurate, as IRR assumes reinvestment at the same rate during all periods.
The initial investment refers to the amount of money you initially put into a project or investment. It is the upfront cost you pay to start the project, such as buying equipment, building infrastructure, or funding a business idea.
Here is why IRR is important:
IRR allows you to assess whether a project or investment meets your required rate of return. If the IRR exceeds your cost of capital, the investment is generally considered financially viable.
When choosing between multiple projects, IRR helps you compare them on a standardised rate-of-return basis. This lets you identify which option offers the highest potential profitability.
IRR considers the timing of your cash flows, unlike simple return metrics. This ensures your investment evaluation reflects the real economic value of returns received at different periods.
You can use IRR to decide whether to proceed with long-term projects. It improves resource allocation by prioritising projects that surpass your hurdle rate or cost of capital.
A higher IRR relative to your cost of capital often indicates a safer investment. You can use IRR to gauge risk and avoid projects that offer insufficient returns for their uncertainty.
IRR expresses profitability as a percentage, making it easier to communicate expected returns to investors, management, or partners without requiring them to interpret complex financial models or spreadsheets.
Using IRR is not always viable. Here is why:
IRR assumes you will reinvest all future cash flows at the same rate as the IRR itself. This is not realistic because it is rare to find other projects with exactly the same return. If actual reinvestment opportunities offer lower returns, the project’s real profitability may be overstated.
When comparing mutually exclusive projects (you can only pick one), IRR might suggest a less profitable option. This is because it focuses on percentage returns, not the total value added. A project with a lower IRR might actually generate more overall profit.
IRR tells you the rate at which a project breaks even in terms of net present value, but it doesn’t show how much value it adds. Even if a project has a high IRR, it might not contribute meaningfully to your company’s overall financial goals without supporting NPV analysis.
Also, if your project has alternating positive and negative cash flows, you might see more than one IRR. This creates confusion because you won’t know which IRR to rely on.
If you are trying to rank several projects, IRR can mislead you. It does not distinguish between long-term and short-term projects. A short project with a high IRR may be chosen over a long-term project with a lower IRR but greater total returns, distorting your investment priorities.
IRR does not adapt well if your cost of capital changes over time. Since IRR is a single rate, it ignores the reality that borrowing costs or market expectations may shift. You could make the wrong choice if you don’t account for varying discount rates over the project’s life.
The IRR is essential for evaluating investment performance and capital budgeting decisions. It lets you decide based on expected annual returns, helping prioritise financially viable projects. While it has limitations, like multiple IRRs and unrealistic reinvestment assumptions, its ease of interpretation and comprehensive nature make it a favourite among analysts.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is not produced by the desk of the Kotak Securities Research Team, nor is it a report published by the Kotak Securities Research Team. The information presented is compiled from several secondary sources available on the internet and may change over time. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions. Read the full disclaimer here.
Investments in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Brokerage will not exceed SEBI prescribed limit. The securities are quoted as an example and not as a recommendation. SEBI Registration No-INZ000200137 Member Id NSE-08081; BSE-673; MSE-1024, MCX-56285, NCDEX-1262.