If you are an airline operator in India, you would know that your business heavily depends on jet fuel prices.
When global oil prices rise, your operational costs increase and they start eating into your profits. To manage this risk, you might enter into an agreement to lock in a fixed price for jet fuel, ensuring that you can predict and control your costs.
This is similar to how oil and energy commodities work in the financial markets, where investors and companies use derivatives to hedge against price fluctuations in energy products like oil, natural gas, and electricity.
Oil and energy commodities are natural resources like crude oil, natural gas, coal, and electricity, whose prices are influenced by global supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical factors, weather conditions, and government policies. These commodities are essential to the global economy and are traded on commodities exchanges around the world.
1. Crude Oil (Brent and WTI):
Crude oil is the most actively traded energy commodity globally. There are two major benchmarks for crude oil prices: Brent Crude (mainly produced in the North Sea) and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) (produced in the U.S.). These two benchmarks set the pricing standard for most oil transactions globally.
2. Natural Gas:
Natural gas is another vital energy commodity used in electricity generation, heating, and industrial applications. It is traded in various forms, with the Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures being the most widely followed benchmark in the U.S. market.
3. Coal:
Coal is a major energy source for power generation and industrial use. Although its importance has declined in some countries due to environmental concerns, it remains critical in countries like India and China.
4. Electricity:
Electricity is an essential energy commodity that is increasingly traded via derivatives, especially in deregulated markets. Futures contracts on electricity prices allow energy producers and consumers to hedge against price fluctuations.
1. Hedging Against Price Volatility:
The prices of oil and energy commodities are extremely volatile due to geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, and changes in global supply and demand. Producers, airlines, transportation companies, and utility providers use derivatives to hedge against these fluctuations.
Example: A power plant may use natural gas futures to lock in future prices for the fuel they need, protecting against price increases that could erode their profit margins.
2. Investment Opportunities:
Energy commodities are also traded by investors seeking to profit from price changes. Speculators can trade crude oil futures or options, betting on future price movements to make profits.
3. Market Liquidity:
Oil and energy markets are among the most liquid markets globally. The high volume of trading allows for efficient price discovery and offers investors and businesses the ability to enter and exit positions easily.
1. Oil Futures Contracts:
Oil futures are contracts where the buyer agrees to purchase, and the seller agrees to deliver, a specific quantity of oil at a predetermined price on a future date. These contracts are traded on exchanges like the NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) and MCX (Multi Commodity Exchange) in India.
Example:
An Indian oil company can buy Brent Crude Futures to hedge against rising oil prices. If the price of oil increases by the time the contract expires, the company can sell the futures contract for a profit, offsetting the higher physical oil costs.
2. Oil Options Contracts:
Oil options give the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy (call) or sell (put) oil futures at a specified price within a certain period. These are useful for hedging risk with more flexibility.
Call Option: Allows the holder to buy oil at a specific price.
Put Option: Allows the holder to sell oil at a specific price.
Example:
A trader might buy a call option on crude oil futures if they believe oil prices will rise. If the prices rise, the trader can exercise the option to buy at the lower strike price, making a profit.
3. Energy Swaps:
Energy swaps are agreements where two parties exchange cash flows based on changes in energy prices. A crude oil swap, for example, would involve one party paying a fixed price for crude oil, while the other pays based on the fluctuating market price.
1. Geopolitical Events:
Political instability in oil-producing countries, such as the Middle East, can cause supply disruptions, leading to sharp price increases.
2. Supply and Demand Factors:
Global demand for energy products, particularly in emerging markets like India and China, directly influences prices. For example, rising demand for oil during periods of economic growth leads to price increases.
3. Environmental and Weather Conditions:
Natural disasters like hurricanes can disrupt production and refining, causing temporary price spikes. Similarly, extreme cold weather can increase demand for heating oil and natural gas.
Oil and natural gas derivatives are crucial due to the country’s dependence on energy imports. The Indian Energy Exchange (IEX) and MCX provide platforms for trading energy-related derivatives like crude oil and natural gas. With increasing demand for energy and growing concerns over energy security, managing oil price risk is critical for Indian businesses and the government.
Oil and energy commodities play a pivotal role in the global economy, and derivatives based on these commodities offer ways to hedge, speculate, and gain exposure to energy markets. Understanding these markets and the derivatives associated with them is essential for both investors and businesses. In the next chapter, we will explore Base Metals: Copper, Aluminum, etc., another important commodity class with unique market dynamics.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is not produced by the desk of the Kotak Securities Research Team, nor is it a report published by the Kotak Securities Research Team. The information presented is compiled from several secondary sources available on the internet and may change over time. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions. Read the full disclaimer here.
Investments in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Brokerage will not exceed SEBI prescribed limit. The securities are quoted as an example and not as a recommendation. SEBI Registration No-INZ000200137 Member Id NSE-08081; BSE-673; MSE-1024, MCX-56285, NCDEX-1262.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is not produced by the desk of the Kotak Securities Research Team, nor is it a report published by the Kotak Securities Research Team. The information presented is compiled from several secondary sources available on the internet and may change over time. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions. Read the full disclaimer here.
Investments in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Brokerage will not exceed SEBI prescribed limit. The securities are quoted as an example and not as a recommendation. SEBI Registration No-INZ000200137 Member Id NSE-08081; BSE-673; MSE-1024, MCX-56285, NCDEX-1262.
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