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Bedside Bullishness: Why Indian Hospital Stocks Are the Silent Healers of Your Portfolio

  •  4 min read
  • •
  •  1,060
  • •
  • 23 Oct 2025
Bedside Bullishness: Why Indian Hospital Stocks Are the Silent Healers of Your Portfolio

Hospital shares are garnering attention as one of the most defensive plays in a volatile market. Growing incomes, rise in lifestyle diseases, and increasing longevity are supporting a broad and steady demand for quality healthcare across India. At the same time, policy support, increased insurance coverage, and targeted private investment are reinforcing the sector’s demand growth base.

Unlike high volatility sectors such as tech or the banking sector, hospital stocks move in quiet consistency, providing fairly reliable returns, stable margins, and long-term growth visibility. What is an investor interested in India’s hospitals and healthcare space?

Here are six factors that are contributing to or can contribute to the sustainable performance of hospital stocks:

Operating Profit Margins

ICRA projects Operating Profit Margins (OPM) for hospitals to remain stable at 22–24% in FY26, supported by scale efficiencies and optimised cost structures. This margin band is significantly higher than pre-pandemic levels of 18% to 20% and reflects improved asset utilisation and digital integration.

Hospitals have cut Average Length of Stay (ALOS) as they increased throughput, which increases margins. Also, the move to day-care procedures and outpatient diagnostics helps to sustain margins without having to increase capex in the same proportion.

Health Insurance Penetration

India’s health insurance market recorded $12.86 billion in FY2025, with increasing policy subscriptions from urban and rural populations. Access to the Ayushman Bharat scheme and affordable coverage from private insurers resulted in lower out-of-pocket expenses for the covered individual and family, which ultimately resulted in the increased hospital footfall.

The level of claim settlements and cashless treatment has increased, which is generating better visibility of revenues for hospitals. Insurance-backed patients also contribute to greater Average Revenue Per Occupied Bed (ARPOB) and a better payor mix, which increases overall profitability.

Medical Tourism Boom

India’s medical tourism market is estimated to reach $18.2 billion in 2025, with approximately 1.5 million patients flying to India for affordable treatments. The surge is also driven by advanced technology and internationally accredited care.

International patients mostly travel for treatment under oncology, cardiology and orthopaedics that have high reimbursement margins. Hospitals benefit from upfront payments, longer stays, and bundled services.

The CAGR of 12.3% through 2035 supports sustained demand in the medical tourism industry, especially from Gulf, African, and Southeast Asian countries.

Occupancy Strength

As per rating agency ICRA’s sector outlook for July 2025, Indian hospitals are forecasted to have a strong occupancy rate of 62-64% in FY26, notwithstanding the ramp-up in capacity as hospitals aggressively expand. This strong demand continuation in metros and Tier-II cities continues to be driven by an increase in lifestyle diseases, as well as increasing numbers of elective procedures.

The growth reflects business stability despite how volatile this sector had been during the pandemic years. Occupancy rates for hospitals are a significant driver of profitability, and even above 60% occupancy, supported by a good mix of procedures, will support the absorption of fixed costs as they leverage operational efficiencies, and the data suggests demand continues to exceed supply, especially within tertiary care.

Workforce Demand

India is confronted with a dire shortfall of healthcare professionals. Currently, the nurse-to-1,000-people ratio is 1.7, and the doctor-to-patient ratio is 1:1,500. The demand for healthcare professionals is projected to double by FY30. This will further burden the existing hospital capacity and contribute to expansion.

Hospitals are combining training academies and partnerships with nearby medical colleges to ensure talented pipeline development. The structural gap ensures demand for healthcare services into the medium-to-long term and provides justification for long-term capex.

NCD Burden

Evidence from the World Health Organization (WHO ) and national health data shows that Non-Communicable Diseases (NCDs) account for 63% of all deaths in India. Cardiovascular diseases, diabetes and cancer are the leading diseases at the forefront of this burden. Most individuals with NCDs are treated in hospitals, where they receive extended care, diagnostics, and surgical procedures. The chronic nature of NCDs ensures repeat visits and higher ARPOB. This epidemiological shift is a secular demand driver for hospital services.

Despite strong growth drivers, the hospital sector faces several challenges that can slow expansion and impact profitability.

  • Rising manpower shortages remain the biggest hurdle, as India lacks skilled doctors, nurses, and technicians, leading to higher wage costs and staff burnout.

  • Increasing regulatory scrutiny on the pricing of procedures, medical devices, and room tariffs can compress margins.

  • Heavy capital expenditure for expansion and digital upgrades strains balance sheets, especially for smaller chains.

  • Competition from standalone clinics, telemedicine platforms, and home healthcare services may reduce inpatient volumes.

  • Medical tourism growth could be disrupted by geopolitical risks, visa restrictions, or global health scares.

  • Additionally, delays in insurance reimbursements affect cash flows, while higher dependence on government schemes like Ayushman Bharat lowers realisations due to low package rates.

  • Cybersecurity risks, rising litigation, and compliance with data privacy laws also add operational complexity. If these challenges are not managed well, they may disrupt the sector’s long-term growth momentum.

Stocks in India’s hospital sector represent a compelling opportunity for traders and investors. Healthcare demand is steady, insurance penetration is rising, occupancy is high, and medical tourism is growing, all of which indicate a stable cash-flow stream and predictable earnings.

Operating profit margins remain healthy due to both scale and a reasonable cost structure. With the ever-increasing burden of lifestyle and non-communicable diseases, repeat treatment and the visibility of revenue over the long term are apparent in the sector.

However, investors must factor in the risks of a scarce manpower pool, regulatory pricing pressure, high capex, and competition from new healthcare delivery models. Solidly managed hospital chains with strong balance sheets will produce defensive growth and long-term value in portfolios.

Sources

India Brand Equity Foundation
ICRA
Press Information Bureau, Government of India
Forbes
Future Market Insights

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is not produced by the desk of the Kotak Securities Research Team, nor is it a report published by the Kotak Securities Research Team. The information presented is compiled from several secondary sources available on the internet and may change over time. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions. Read the full disclaimer here.

Investments in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Brokerage will not exceed SEBI prescribed limit. The securities are quoted as an example and not as a recommendation. SEBI Registration No-INZ000200137 Member Id NSE-08081; BSE-673; MSE-1024, MCX-56285, NCDEX-1262.

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