One of the most commonly used measurements by economists and policymakers when assessing the economic health of an area is per capita income. To simply define per capita income: it's the average income of the people residing in a particular geographic area, like a city, state, or nation. It's a handy measure of the economic health of the population and gives an idea about the standard of living in the area.
India’s national per capita income is calculated by the National Statistical Office (NSO) under the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI). The NSO releases per capita income data annually in its publication called “Estimates of National Income”.
The methodology for the calculation of per capita income includes these key steps:
The first step is to calculate India's national income for the financial year. The NSO calculates the national income through the income method, which takes into consideration the following:
This provides the Net National Income (NNI) at current prices. The NNI is then adjusted for inflation to arrive at the real NNI or national income.
The second step is to estimate the average population of India in the Financial Year (FY). The NSO uses population figures from the previous census and takes into account the population growth rate to approximate the mid-year population.
For example, for the current FY, the population projections from the 2011 census were taken and adjusted for estimated population growth to arrive at the mid-year population estimate.
Once the national income and mid-year population figures are available, the per capita income is calculated by simply dividing the national income by the population estimate.
For example, let’s assume India’s national income is ₹145.7 trillion, and the mid-year population estimate is 1.33 billion. therefore, the per capita income will be calculated as:
Per Capita Income = National Income/Population
= ₹145.7 trillion/1.33 billion
= ₹109,326
Therefore, India’s per capita income would be around ₹109,326.
GDP growth: A higher Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate directly impacts national income levels and per capita earnings.
Population growth rate: A higher population growth rate results in lower per capita income, even if national income rises.
Employment trends: Rising employment and income levels boost national income and per capita earnings.
Tax collections: Higher tax collections by the government contribute to national income.
Corporate earnings: Profitability and earnings of companies operating in India add to the national income.
Agricultural output: Higher agricultural production and crop yields flow into national income via farm incomes.
Global oil prices: As an importer of oil, high crude prices exert downward pressure on India's national income.
Currency exchange rate: Depreciation of the rupee results in higher earnings for exporters and thus boosts income levels.
Apart from the national per capita income, the NSO also computes and publishes per capita income estimates for every state in India every year. The method to determine per capita income for states includes the following:
The Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) is used as the measure of income. The GSDP for each state is available from the respective State Directorate of Economics and Statistics.
The GSDP is calculated through the production approach by aggregating the value of all goods and services produced within the state for the financial year.
The GSDP is then adjusted for income earned by commuters. This accounts for income earned by residents of a state while working in another state.
For example: Income earned by residents of Haryana while commuting daily to work in Delhi.
The mid-year population for each state is estimated based on the latest census data and projected population growth rates.
The state's GSDP adjusted for commuters' income is divided by the mid-year population to arrive at the state per capita income.
While per capita income serves as an important metric, there are certain limitations in its calculation methodology for a diverse country like India.
Being an average, it hides income disparities within states. Affluent regions inflate the average.
Difficult to accurately capture the incomes of poorer sections who work in the unorganized sector.
Does not account for differing price levels and costs of living across states.
Does not reflect the distribution of income among the population. High inequality can exist despite a rise in per capita income.
Does not factor in the quality of public infrastructure and services which impact living standards.
Hard to fully adjust for temporary migrant populations across states.
Time lag between collection of macroeconomic data and its inclusion in per capita income estimates.
Per capita income, when used along with other social and economic indicators, can offer useful insights into the economic well-being of the country and its citizens. However, it does not reveal the complete picture regarding income distributions and actual standards of living. Policymakers need to be mindful of these aspects when using per capita income data to make strategic decisions for equitable growth and development.
The per capita income estimates for India and its states are estimated and published annually by the Central Statistics Office. The data are typically published 2-3 years after the close of the financial year and supply income estimates at the national and sub-national levels.
While both metrics divide economic output by population, GDP per capita is based on Gross Domestic Product, whereas per capita income is based on Net National Income, which adjusts for depreciation and includes net income from abroad.
Karnataka has recorded the fastest per capita income growth rate during the decade, due to rapid industrial growth, infrastructure development and growth in skilled service industry businesses in the state.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is not produced by the desk of the Kotak Securities Research Team, nor is it a report published by the Kotak Securities Research Team. The information presented is compiled from several secondary sources available on the internet and may change over time. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions. Read the full disclaimer here.
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