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When Geology Meets Geopolitics: India’s Play in the Rare Earth Game

  •  4 min read
  •  1,004
  • Published 31 Oct 2025
When Geology Meets Geopolitics: India’s Play in the Rare Earth Game

Every country has its hidden treasure.

For centuries, India’s riches gleamed in gold, spices, and silk.

Today, the new treasure isn’t locked in jewellery boxes or hidden vaults.

It’s buried deep beneath our own soil.

They’re called rare earth metals.

17 elements quietly shaping the next industrial revolution.

The metals you can’t name but can’t live without.

They sit inside your phone speaker, power your EV motor, spin your wind turbine, and even guide missiles.

The world runs on their magnetism, quite literally.

Once upon a trade map, China found its golden ticket.

Buried, magnetic, and ready to export.

By 2023, it was producing 240,000 tonnes of rare earth elements, or REEs (Rare Earth Elements), roughly 69% of global output.

Fast-forward to 2025, and Beijing controls 92% of refining capacity and 98% of manufacturing magnet, churning out over 300,000 tonnes of NdFeB magnets while the US barely scrapes 1,000 tonnes.

These neodymium–iron–boron (NdFeB) magnets are the muscle behind modern tech.

They power EV motors, wind turbines, smartphones, and even missile guidance systems. Small in size, massive in strategic value.

And when a country holds more than 50% of the world’s reserves and 99% of heavy REE processing, it doesn’t just lead the market, it holds the power to set the rules.

So, when China tightened exports again in October 2025, adding five more REEs to its controlled list, the world flinched.

The AI, aerospace, and semiconductor dreams of many suddenly looked…negotiable.

Now, the camera pans to India sitting quietly on 6% of global reserves, spread across the sands of Kerala, Odisha, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, and the misty hills of the Northeast.

For years, those reserves lay buried awaiting exploration.

India’s share in global output? Still under 1%.

The challenges lie in limited refining capacity, regulatory delays, and slow decision-making.

But that’s changing fast.

In 2025, India flipped the script with its National Critical Mineral Mission with this bold, geologically charged move.

The Geological Survey of India (GSI) has lined up 1,200 exploration projects through FY2031, all trained on REE-rich belts.

Add AI-driven geospatial analytics and hyperspectral imaging, and it turns into a high-tech treasure hunt for minerals.

The Atomic Minerals Directorate is testing new methods to extract metals directly from the ground without harming the environment.

Unlike the gold rushes of old, this one’s got spreadsheets and joint ventures.

The government’s pushing Public-Private Partnerships (PPP) to build end-to-end rare-earth value chains from exploration to refining.

Enter the proposed Rare Earth Innovation Hub a tech-heavy playground with pilot plants for solvent extraction, ion-exchange, and plasma arc melting.

PSUs like IREL (India) Ltd are teaming up with private firms and global tech partners. In other words: less pickaxe, more patent.

If you thought this was a solo act, think again.

Through the India–Australia Critical Minerals Innovation Partnership, both nations are now co-funding a $12 million innovation fund for REE R&D—from beneficiation to additive manufacturing.

It’s less “outback adventure” and more “strategic chemistry,” but the implications are electric (quite literally).

Rare earths have always been the quiet power behind the world’s loudest technologies. But now, they’re front and centre of global strategy.

As the US, Japan, and Europe scramble to secure non-Chinese supply chains, India’s pitch is simple: geologically gifted, politically stable, and manufacturing-hungry.

The new narrative isn’t just “Make in India.”

It’s “Mine in India.”

So, what’s in it for traders and investors?

Here’s the thing—you won’t yet find a queue of listed REE miners on the NSE.

The industry’s still embryonic. But the adjacent plays are quietly heating up.

Clean energy, EV manufacturing, battery chemistry, and advanced materials firms will all feed off this mineral pivot.

IREL, the PSU anchor, could see renewed attention as India scales its processing.

Tech and recycling startups with rare-earth separation or magnet recovery IP could become the next-gen midcaps to watch.

Because every commodity story starts as geology and ends as margin expansion.

This isn’t a one-quarter play.

India’s rare-earth story is setting up for the decade in accordance with part diplomacy, part industry, and part sustainability.

The mission is clear: move from exporting raw ores to controlling the entire magnet-to-market chain.

It won’t be easy. Refining tech is costly, and global demand is racing ahead.

But the direction is unmistakable: India isn’t just digging; it’s designing.

So, the next time you pick up your smartphone or watch an EV glide by, remember: somewhere under India’s coastline, the metals that make it all possible are quietly waiting their turn in the spotlight.

The world may call them “rare,” but the real rarity is a country ready to play the long game.

Because in this trillion-dollar treasure hunt, India isn’t just chasing minerals.

It’s staking a claim in the future of energy, technology, and trade itself.

Sources and References:

  1. LUSTERCAPITAL
  2. BUSINESSSTANDARD
  3. BUSINESSWORLD
  4. RAREEARTHEXCHANGES
  5. TBSNEWS
  6. CHINABRIEFING
  7. TIMESOFINDIA
  8. PIB
  9. ECONOMICTIMES
  10. AMD
  11. WEBINDIA
  12. TRIBUNEINDIA
  13. CSIRO

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is not produced by the desk of the Kotak Securities Research Team, nor is it a report published by the Kotak Securities Research Team. The information presented is compiled from several secondary sources available on the internet and may change over time. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions. The above images were generated using AI. Read the full disclaimer here.

Investments in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Brokerage will not exceed SEBI prescribed limit. The securities are quoted as an example and not as a recommendation. SEBI Registration No-INZ000200137 Member Id NSE-08081; BSE-673; MSE-1024, MCX-56285, NCDEX-1262.

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