|
Trends in business keep changing. Not long ago
conglomerates were one of the most popular business
models. Huge conglomerates dominated the markets; in
those days stand-alone businesses were not of such
vital importance as today. However, having said that
it does not mean that conglomerates have lost their
relevance to the Indian markets of today.
Conglomerates are companies that either own
completely or partially companies within one or
multiple industries and sectors. Good examples of
Indian conglomerates are ITC, Reliance Group, Tata
Group, Grasim and more recent conglomerates like
Indiabulls, Pantaloon, etc.
Understanding conglomerates and their relevance:
Conglomerates are plainly speaking, groups of
companies owned by a single company. There is no
fixed criterion for defining such companies because
they can own companies either in the area of
operation of the parent company or even own a very
diverse set of companies. As an example, Bajaj Auto
owns Bajaj Finance, although Bajaj Auto makes two
wheelers, Bajaj Finance is a private sector
moneylender specializing in consumer finance.
Conglomerates are of importance to the investor
because they offer diversification; some
conglomerates are well and truly diversified. As it
is well known that business cycles among various
sectors are different and it is also true that
recession in one sector may not traverse across all
sectors, these companies can provide good support
for the investor in trying times. Conglomerates
unlike other companies also have the ability to
survive by counterbalancing the downturn in one
subsidiary company by growth and expansion of other
businesses. An opportunity that is not available to
stand-alone businesses.
Advantages of investing in conglomerates:
Conglomerates are well known for surviving economic
storms. Western conglomerates like GE, 3M and
Berkshire Hathaway have all weathered and survived
economic downturns. The following can be termed as
advantages of investing in conglomerates: -
i) Diversification: Conglomerates are diverse
by nature. They are less likely to be influenced by
downturns in one sector of their operations.
ii) Expertise: Many conglomerates have a better
grip at managing diverse businesses and running
them.
iii) Synergies: Various synergies can arise
within one conglomerate among various companies of
the flagship.
iv) Growth: Conglomerates are generally focused
on growth, and acquisition plays an important part
in such growth. Many conglomerates have built
successful businesses after acquiring companies.
Disadvantages of investing in conglomerates
There are some disadvantages of investing in
conglomerates as well. These disadvantages are
mainly based on how these companies are valued by
the investors and the markets in general. Let’s
examine them below: -
i) Conglomerate discount: This is one of the
most prominent criticisms of conglomerates as
investments. Conglomerate discount is basically the
stock market’s penchant to undervalue the stocks of
such companies. So plainly speaking, conglomerate
discount is the addition of each of the subsidiary
companies intrinsic value to that of the parent
company and the subtracting the conglomerates market
capitalization from that figure.
ii) Lack of focus: - The old adage “Jack of all
trades, master of none” can be used to describe some
conglomerates. Some conglomerates are unable to
achieve any synergy or efficiency at managing
diverse business interests.
iii) Better ways to diversify: Conglomerates may
or may not be diverse. You will have to study the
company deeply to understand how diversified it may
be but if you just invest in stand-alone businesses
which are operating across various sectors you can
diversify your investments by yourself in a far more
effective and easier way.
iv) Subsidiary burden: Certain subsidiary
companies come under un-necessary burden because
they have to back other conglomerate companies that
may not be doing well. This is not a problem with
stand-alone businesses.
Should you invest in a conglomerate?
That would depend entirely on the conglomerate. It
is important to look for value as you would
elsewhere while investing. Certain conglomerates are
very well managed and have built wealth for their
shareholders across many years. However you should
consider the subsidiary companies of conglomerates
in your analysis when making up your mind, if
tomorrow the conglomerate is broken up will these
companies generate wealth for you a shareholder? As
long as conglomerates have solid financial
discipline, good management and an ability to be
flexible with their subsidiary businesses they make
excellent investments especially in the times of
market volatility.
In this
volatile market, what should you do as an investor?
What strategy to adopt while picking up stocks?
Let’s take a look....
The equity
markets have been in a volatile mode since last few
quarters. Most of the retail investors have been
stranded with long positions, after the massive fall
in the month of January. Since then their
participation in the equity markets has been very
low. The reason behind this is that most of the
investors are confused in which way the market will
head because of the high volatility. In such a
situation a retail investor should stick to the
fundamentals.
Top down
or bottom up?
Analyzing
the basic fundamentals of various companies is
relatively simple and any average investor can do
it. Such analysis can be done by two different
approaches viz. the bottom-up approach and the
top-down approach.
The
bottom-up approach:
In the bottom-up approach the main focus is the
target company and other parameters like the overall
sentiment, economic cycle, political condition,
Sectoral outlook etc. The basic belief under this
approach is that companies with good management will
survive and do well even in tough conditions and
outperform their peers in the same sector.
The
top-down approach:
In the top-down method emphasis is given to the
broader economy as a whole. If the prospects of
growth of the economy are good then various sectors
in the economy are studied and the sectors with
healthy growth prospects are identified. Once the
sectors are identified various companies falling
under these sectors are studied and the companies
which may outperform its peers are selected for
investment.
Which
approach to adopt?
Though
both the approaches are different, both of them are
effective. They also have their own pros and cons.
For example, in the case of bottom-up approach
though one may select a fundamentally strong stock,
one may have to wait for the returns for a longer
period of time if the economy is passing through a
rough patch. On the other hand, in the top-down
approach though all the factors are analyzed to zero
down to certain investment ideas; some of the niche
sectors may get overlooked. Also small sectors with
very few companies may be overlooked. Good companies
in sectors with modest growth prospects may skip
attention. In current scenario, the fundamentals of
the economy change very fast due to the volatility
in commodity, global political conditions etc. In
such a case the prospects for certain sectors may
change very fast. Thus, investors need to be in
touch with the market situation constantly and
should always remember the reason behind investing
in a particular stock.
Analyzing the economy
and the industry at regular intervals has become
extremely necessary in today’s situation. Thus, the
top-down approach is more advisable to investors
instead of bottom-up as it considers the overall
picture of the economy and the industry as well. |